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Midyear Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodity Markets Outlook: Higher for Longer | Weekly Market Commentary | July 21, 2025
And while we think the interplay between the good (lower rates) and bad (higher term premium) will persist throughout the rest of the year, given the still resilient economic conditions, we think rates, particularly the 10-year Treasury yield, could drift higher in the near term before ending the year between 4.0% to 4.5%.

Midyear Stock Market Outlook: Path to Upside Clouded with Uncertainty | Weekly Market Commentary | July 14, 2025
If “tariff” isn’t the word of the year for stock investors so far, then perhaps it’s “uncertainty.” Uncertainty around trade policy dominated the path of the stock market in the first half and will continue to play a large role in the second half.